Deutscher Kommentar am Ende des Blogspots !
Today, Germany's ruling coalition between Christian Democrats (CDU) and Free Liberals (FDP) is suffering from its seventh defeat in succession in German state elections. Even though, Chancellor Frau Merkel's CDU enjoyed a moderate increase of votes (23,4 %) it could not match with the Social Democrats (SPD) who led the race with a slight loss (28,3 %). The FDP of Frau Merkel's coalition partner, foreign minister Westerwelle, almost vanished from the statistics (1,8%) as it remained under 5% of all votes which is a compulsory limit in Germany that any political party has to reach in order to get access to Parliament on the state level as well as on the federal level.
The Social Democrats (SPD 28,3 %) can now build a coalition with the Green's (Die Grünen 17,6 %) who added 4,5 % to their last election result. This seems to be the favourite solution in public discussion. Such coalition would have a majority of two seats (i.e. 78 of 152) in Berlin state parliament.
An alternative could be a "big" coalition between SPD and CDU which seems to be rather unlikely at the moment. The usual "red-red" coalition between SPD and pro-Communist Leftists (Die Linke 11,7 %) cannot be continued because of Leftist losses.
Most losses of the established parties have favoured the Pirates' Party (Die Piraten) that started from scratch to 8,9 % and made the real shooting star of this election. It mirrors German citizens' displeasure at increasing security control and regulation of the internet and other areas of public life. The brandnew Pirates' Party seems to represent a group of voters that is present across established party boundaries and age limits. They resemble the Greens' Party at their beginning when the Greens were the first to respond to the requirements of nature and a "healthy" use of industrial techniques.
According to German law, no projection of voters' decision based on a sophisticated opinion poll outside of the polling stations may be published before 18:00 in order to avoid any rigging of the election results. Nevertheless, a reliable projection of voters' decision is already available hours before. I heard the projected result about three hours earlier on a foreign satellite TV station when consequences for the Merkel government were already being discussed.
Die Glosse zur Wahl:
Meinungsforscher haben jetzt das Erfolgsrezept der Piraten-Partei ergründet:
Eigentlich hat sie bis zur Berliner Regionalwahl kaum jemand gekannt oder für voll genommen. Schließlich glaubten einige Wähler, dass es sich bei der neuen Piraten-Partei nur um einen Werbegag der FDP handeln konnte. Um eine bessere Wiedererkennbarkeit der grundlegenden Parteiziele zu gewährleisten, so vermuteten sie, hatte die Führungsspitze der liberalen Freibeuter beschlossen, bei den Landtagswahlen die Akzeptanz und Werbewirksamkeit des neuen Parteinamens zu testen. Er sollte der FDP ("Freibeuter Deutscher Provenienz") einen Hauch von Abenteuer und jugendlicher Frische wiedergeben und damit auch die Gruppe junger Erst- und Nichtwähler erreichen. Kurz entschlossen wählten diese Leute also die Piraten-Partei, in der Annahme, es handele sich lediglich um eine neue Form der FDP mit einer ehrlicheren Fassade. So kam es denn, dass die FDP nahezu alle ihre Stimmen an die Piraten-Partei abgab. Ein tragischer Irrtum also, der eigentlich nur auf einer missglückten Werbekampagne beruhte.
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