Friday, January 16, 2026

Iran - Mass Protest and Foreign Pressure

Update included on January 17-18-21



It seems that Iranian mass protest has been weakened, both, by elementary fear of the protesters facing a bloody crackdown of the regime and by increasing opposition against foreign influence deciding over Iran's future.

There are voices from the region confirming the participation of armed rioters in the protests, described as foreign mercenaries serving as 'agents provocateurs' for Israel's Mossad and decided to create chaos in a volatile situation.

An Iranian observer, referring to official sources, said that 3.000 armed rioters should have been arrested in the past days. And there should have been some 'foreign intelligence officers' among them, according to another source from inside Iran.

US president Trump's special interest in saving the lives of just these guys might have been the true reason for his declaration that any killing of prisoners would have immediate military consequences in order to 'protect the people of Iran'.

Iran's response that no killings were intended, in addition to diplomatic pressure from Saudi Arabia, Turkey and other countries might have eased the tensions for now. And a simultaneous temporary closure of Iran's airspace has already been abandoned by the regime, thus restoring civil air traffic again.


新华社德黑兰1月17日电 — 据伊朗伊斯兰共和国通讯社17日报道,伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊说,美国总统特朗普让伊朗遭受损害和伤亡,并对伊朗民族提出指责,这应被视为犯罪。

报道说,哈梅内伊当天在伊朗首都德黑兰与数千名伊朗民众会面时发表了上述讲话。哈梅内伊还阐述了伊朗最近动乱的性质和手段,以及伊朗人民面对阴谋的责任。

Tehran, January 17 (Xinhua) According to a report by the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) on the 17th, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei said that US President Donald Trump's actions that have caused harm and casualties to Iran and his accusations against the Iranian nation should be considered a crime.

The report said that Khamenei made the above remarks during a meeting with thousands of Iranian citizens in Tehran, the Iranian capital. Khamenei also elaborated on the nature and methods of the recent unrest in Iran, and the responsibility of the Iranian people in the face of conspiracies.


[极目新闻 quoting Xinhua Agency on January 17, 23:07 local time]


The internet, however, has been down today for the seventh day.

While Elon Musk's Starlink initiative could be successfully blocked by the regime, now France is allegedly trying to smuggle Eutelsat into Iran, the European version of Starlink, in order to ensure communication.


CCTV reporter: An Iranian analyst points out that the US and Israel's plan to weaken Iran is divided into two phases. The first phase is to test Iran's military capabilities through a military strike, namely the "12-Day War" in June 2025. The second phase is to test the resilience of Iranian society through propaganda and psychological warfare. Analysts believe that under the current circumstances, Iran needs to formulate a series of practical policies to stabilize its economy and people's livelihoods while responding to external threats from the US and Israel.

The Chinese article, based on a CCTV news spot is related to an Iranian assessment of strategy to get equal in the 'hybrid war' waged against Iran by the USA and Israel.


The USA, now, are moving a carrier strike group from the South China Sea to the Middle East, being aware that, this time, the Islamic Republic will fight for its survival with everything they have, including their naval rocket force.


The carrier group of USS-Abraham-Lincoln-(CVN-72) is the most probable group for that task. Its last known position on December 25, 2025, (i.e. 23 days ago) was South-West of Manila (Philippines). At full speed, it might be moving with 30 knots maximum (i.e. 56 km/h; 35 mph). That implies a remarkable time to reach Middle Eastern waters. The Chinese video above is showing the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72).

There is even a direct threat against Trump, shown
on Iranian TV and published by a US news center:
The Persian warning is a reminder of an earlier rifle assault on
Trump that wounded his ear: "This time there will be no error ..."
اين بار خطانمى رود

The situation remains as it is. Two enemies are confronting each other: The Islamic Republic in a precarious economic and political situation, due to international sanctions and internal oppression on one side, and the military power of Trump's USA and its satellite Israel on the other side, appearing like an outdated dinosaur with small brains and big feet on the ground and the intention to trample on just another country in the Middle East, like Afghanistan and Iraq before.

Anyway, war could theoretically start within 24 hours.
But this would only happen, if there were strategical benefits for that. This, however, has been questioned by another author, argueing that subversive US-Israeli networks are already active in the country, making an immediate attack rather unnecessary.





Iran under fire:
Protests defy repression, and cries of anger break the wall of silence from Mashhad to Tehran.

إيران تحت النار
احتجاجات تتحدى القمع وصرخات الغضب تخترق جدار الصمت من مشهد إلى طهران


Please Note: This video from Yemen, published on Jan. 17, is showing peaceful mass protest and singular outbreaks of violence in form of torched cars, busses and buildings. The majority of protesters is almost casually and unexcitedly passing by; only few of them are taking photos of the flames with their smartphones. And I asked myself, why common people in a difficult situation should damage the infrastructure of their hometown (busses and cash dispenensers) and the badly needed cars of other citizens. This would rather hint at experienced troublemakers who don't have to care for the consequences .....




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