Tuesday, October 02, 2012

UFOs over China ?



神农架现不明飞行物轨迹 气象专家无法解释

Shennongjia apparently not understanding the position of flying objects. - Meteorologists don't have explanation.


Yesterday, 1st October, 2012, unknown flying objects have been detected in the sky over Shennongjia holiday resort in Hubei province.

Some 12 flight trajectories (i.e. vapour trails) have been observed and photographs have been taken by a Chinese citizen whom the Chinese source named a "patriot".

[Source: China News Web on Oktober 2, 2012]

As nobody seems to know the origin of those 12 trajectories running parallel in the morning sky at Shennongjia, I tried to find out something more by choosing one of them that could be easily measured on a Chinese photo. A reference object (tree) from the photo was chosen for the calculation of the real length of that trajectory at an assumed heigth of 10.000 m. If there were more than one photos taken in a short period of time, it should be possible to determine those parts of vapour trails that are changing within a certain time. Thereafter, a calculation of the flying objects' speed should be possible. Even though the time of exposure for the camera was reported (1/13 second) this should not be enough for the purpose.


Tree: 2.8 units of length => 2.8 [m] assumed height of tree, taken as a length reference for the following calculations.

Virtual object: 0.7 units of length => 0.7 [m] that could be interpreted as a flight trajectory with a real length of about 12 km.

Inaccuracy accepted for the assumptions used in the above calculation, it seems realistic that so many objects, flying in the same direction, could be interpreted as different missiles at supersonic speed.


Hubei Province


Most probably, these are disabled medium-range ballistic missiles or parts of them, either used for a demonstration of military strength or for a test of China's missile warning system by some interested party.

Therefore, nothing to worry about.

Same thing happened during a Russian missile test when luminous traces of disabled rockets could be observed in the nightly sky over Israel and Syria. I included that story in one of my recent blogspots as some kind of "political omen".




Postcard from the Cataracts of Iguacu in Parana, Brazil.



Sunday, September 30, 2012

Iran - Before The Storm


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UPDATE for 1st October, 2012:

مصوّر أحمدي نجاد ينشق ويطلب اللجوء السياسي بأمريكا

Photographer of Ahmadi Nejad defected and is seeking political asylum in America.

تمكّن من الهروب من الوفد المرافق للرئيس الإيراني خلال زيارته للأمم المتحدة

Realization of the defection from the delegation that accompanied the Iranian president during his visit to the Security Council.


[Source: Al-Arabiya on 1st October, 2012]

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After U.S. president Obama and Israel's prime minister Netanyahu in the sharpest form expressed their determination to wage war with Iran, Iranian leader Ahmadi Nejad called the international community for help. In the frame of an unfriendly exchange of opinion in the United Nations' General Assembly, now Russia's voice makes itself being heard:

俄称不希望对伊朗实施军事打击反对扩大制裁

Russia says it doesn't wish to carry out a military attack against Iran and opposes extended sanctions.


That is what Russia's deputy minister of foreign affairs, Sergei Ryabkov, said according to a quotation in China News Network 中新网 on September 29, 2012.

里亚布科夫表示,我们希望,今年年底和明年都不会对伊朗实施任何打击。

Ryabkov stated: "We hope there won't be any attack carried out against Iran [till] the end of this year and next year."

任何军事对抗的决定只会摧毁可能就伊核相关问题达成共识而出现的希望。

Whatever military confrontation will be decided, it can only destroy hopes of an agreement probably to be reached on the interrelated questions of Iran's nuclear [program].


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Iran's Intranet



According to Al-Jazeera TV on September 29, 2012, Iran is planning to install a nationwide intranet. Up to now, 10.000 computers should already be linked to that net which makes it impossible to attack them via internet.

Virus infection of electronic control devices, needed in the enrichment process of uranium, had caused damage to Iran's enrichment program some time ago. The internet virus Stuxnet that succeeded to infiltrate computers at a nuclear research facility and physically damaged a certain number of uranium centrifuges, is said to have originated from the U.S. and Israel.

As a side-effect, the nationwide installation of an intranet would enable Iranian authorities to enjoy a better control of private computers in its country, even more as it is still unclear whether the world-wide-web would be allowed to exist side by side with the new national computer network.


Above: Siemens Simatic S7-300 PLC CPU with three I/O modules attached. Such are the controlling units for gas centrifuges used in an Iranian plant for the enrichment of uranium. Stuxnet was able to infect the host and changed the operational conditions of three attached centrifuge motors to "unsafe operation". That means a constant change from very low frequency of rotation to a very high frequency exceeding that of normal operation. Of course, such treated centrifuges broke down very soon.

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Visitor access point to "blueprint news" activated from Ramat Gan in Tel Aviv district, Israel:


Cold Greetings from Iceland:



Thursday, September 27, 2012

Island Dispute - Japan Ready For War ?


Last UPDATE: September 30, 2012


Yesterday, September 26, 2012, at the United Nations General Assembly, Japan's prime minister Yoshihiko Noda (photo above) said that Diaoyu Island (which the Japanese call Senkaku) should be regarded as an integral part of Japan's territory and that Japan would not compromise on the item.

The day before, at UN General Assembly, China's foreign minister Yang Jiechi had used a similar stance to inform his Japanese counterpart Koichiro Gemba that China would not compromise either.

[Source: Al-Jazeera on September 27, 2012]

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Even Japan's opposition can be expected to follow the government because the Liberal Democratic Party's new leader is known as a hawk when it comes to Chinese-Japanese relations.

As stances are getting tougher, military action between both sides cannot be excluded any longer. Even more as activists from Taiwan were showing up at Diaoyu Island, some days ago, to protest against Japan's territorial claims.

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A request at the regular press conference of China's foreign ministry, held on September 26, delivers a glimpse of China's position in the Diaoyu conflict. The ministry's spokesman Hong Lei answered journalist questions:


问:今天,日本前首相安倍晋三当选自民党新总裁,有可能成为日新首相。中方对此有何评论。

Question:
Today, Japan's former prime minister Shinzo Abe has been elected the Liberal [Democratic] Party's new leader who could become Japan's new prime minister. What comment does China have regarding this subject ?

答:这是日本内政,我不作评论。

Answer:
This is regarding Japan's internal politics. I don't comment on this.


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Editor's Note:
Japan's tough-talking former prime minister Shinzo Abe, who has taken a hawkish stance against China and South Korea on the subject of the notorious island disputes between Tokyo and those countries, has been elected as president of the main opposition Liberal Democratic Party LDP.


Abe, who defeated ex-defense chief Shigeru Ishiba in a run-off election Wednesday, September 26, could get another chance to lead Japan, if the LDP wins next election as polls suggest. [Source: The Chosun Ilbo Online, Tokyo, September 27, 2012]

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问:安倍晋三在担任日首相期间曾处理过对华事务,中方对他在中日关系发展中所发挥的作用有何评论,对两国关系发展有何期待?

Question:
Shinzo Abe, while holding the office of Japan's prime minister, dealt with China related affairs. What comment has the Chinese side to give with regard to him, concerning [his] intentions that came into play in the frame of a development of Chinese-Japanese relations ? What expectations [does China have] for the development of both countries' relations ?

答:当前中日关系面临十分严峻的局面,这完全是由于日方罔顾中方强烈反对、执意非法“购买”钓鱼岛造成的,其全部责任应完全由日方承担。我们要求日方打消幻想,切实纠正错误,停止一切损害中国领土主权的行为,回到谈判解决钓鱼岛问题的正确轨道上来,为改善中日关系创造条件。

Answer:
Current Chinese-Japanese relations are confronted with an extremely grim situation. This is completely due to Japan not taking in consideration China's strong opposition and is caused by [Japan's] determination to illegally "buy" Diaoyu Island. [Therefore], Japan should completely bear total responsibility. We demanded the Japanese side to give up [their] illusions, to earnestly correct their mistakes and to stop every action that is damaging China's territorial rights. Coming up on the right way of returning to talks [in order] to settle the issue of Diaoyu Island would improve the creation of [favourable] conditions for Chinese-Japanese relations.


[Source: People's Network, Beijing, on September 26, 2012]

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Impact of Tensions on East Asia's Economy



On September 20, CNN reported on East Asia's economy suffering from the financial crisis in Europe. A remarkable slowdown has been observed in, both, China and Japan. While Japan's export has shrunk 5.8 % in August, Shanghai Composite stocks have fallen by nearly 8 % this year. Other East Asian stock markets (Nikkei, Hang Seng and Seoul Kospi) closed with negative reports as well on the reference date of September 20, 2012. On that day, the Japanese Nikkei index suffered a loss of -1.57 % which is comparable with a -2.08 % loss for the Shanghai Composite index.

On September 29, 2012, the Chinese edition of the The Wall Street Journal wrote about a 5.4 % decrease in export for all sorts of Japanese motorcars (i.e. limousines, trucks and busses) during the last eight months. Production numbers sank from 363.800 to 344.049 in August 2012. It should be added that public traffic in Mainland China is, up to now, extensively using Japanese vehicles.





"The Wall Street Journal" in Chinese
on Japanese Car Production in 2012:



In addition to the impact of global causes, both national economies, in China and in Japan, will increasingly suffer from political tensions between both countries. Chinese protesters calling for a boycott of Japanese goods are the first to point at the most vulnerable point of Japan's economy - its exports to China which make mainland China the most important market for Japan's economy. Sure, China will suffer as well from bilateral tensions. However Japan seems to be even more vulnerable because of its energy problem caused by the Fukushima incident and which forced Japan to think over its nuclear program. On the other side, China has its own natural resources, including natural gas, while crude oil has already been stored in great amounts during past years when China negotiated treaties with oil producing countries.



Furthermore, China is on good terms with most of its neighbours. Regular meetings in the frame of APEC and SCO unite China's leadership with other Asian leaders like Russia's strongman Putin on the basis of common interest. China is even promoting the development of regional markets in Asia in its own interest. That's why Hu Jintao recently met with Afghanistan's president Karzai and with Kazakhstan's newly elected president Akhmetov. As to the Kazakh subject, here another request answered on the above-mentioned press conference of China's foreign ministry on September 26:

另有记者问及:哈萨克斯坦总统已任命阿赫梅托夫为新总理,中方对此有何评论?中方如何看待中哈关系发展前景?

Question:
Has the president of Kazakhstan already appointed Akhmetov as new prime minister ? Is there any comment from the Chinese part to that subject ? How does China regard the prospects of developing relations between China and Kazakhstan ?

洪磊表示,我们对阿赫梅托夫先生就任哈萨克斯坦总理表示祝贺。中哈是友好邻邦和全面战略伙伴,两国关系具有广阔的发展前景。中方愿与哈方继续共同努力,推动中哈全面战略伙伴关系不断向前发展,造福两国人民。

Answer:
Hong Lei indicates that China expresses its gratulations towards Mr. Akhmetov taking the office of Kazakhstan's prime minister. China and Kazakhstan are friendly neighbouring countries and overall strategic partners. The relations between both countries possess broad prospects of development. China is willing to continue together with Kazakhstan their common great efforts and carry ahead an uninterrupted development of the Chinese-Kazakh overall strategic partnership that benefits both countries' peoples.


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In the middle of a violent dispute between both countries:
PR China is celebrating "40 Years of Negotiations" with Japan.
[Source: People's Network, Beijing, on September 28, 2012]


Above: China's leaders meeting with Japanese prime ministers.
Mao Tse Tong (September 1972), Deng Xiao Ping (October 1978), Jiang Ze Min (November 1998), Hu Jin Tao (May 2008).


Editor's Opinion:

The United States of America would be badly advised to help their Japanese junior partners, isolated in the region, in their struggle for Diaoyu Island unless they want to risk a longterm engagement that would cost them more money, reputation (and probably troops) they could ever imagine.

A Chinese comment is indicating that the Diaoyu conflict originated from U.S. interference in favour of Japan rather than from a century-old quarrel between regional powers. In other words, Japan would probably never have mentioned that subject if Tokyo was not backed by a questionable U.S. strategy that makes it difficult for China to deliver an adequate answer to the territorial claims of Japanese hardliners. Such evaluation of Japan's recent behaviour towards China (and South Korea) should make the U.S. remember their own war against Japan in the 1940s when many of their best troops perished in a bloody battle against Japan's imperialism that had invaded vast areas of East and South East Asia. Until now, that battle has often been referred to as "island hopping", kind of strategy the U.S. and Japan have just been training together in their latest joint maneuvres .....

China and its Sphere of Influence:



Visitor access point activated for a subject related request in "blueprint news" from the Honolulu / Pearl Harbor region of Hawaii:



Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Afghanistan - Nato Leaving, China Coming



China's top security official and member of Communist Party's politburo, Zhou Yongkang, paid a surprise visit to Afghanistan, where he met with President Hamid Karzai on issues ranging from investment and bilateral trade to terrorism and drug trafficking, China's state-run news agency XINHUA said Sunday.

Beijing kept the visit secret because of security concerns, the agency said.

[Source: CNN Online quoting XINHUA agency on September 23]

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Earlier on June 8, 2012, China's President Hu Jintao had held talks with his Afghan counterpart, Hamid Karzai, in the frame of an SCO summit that took place in Beijing at that time (picture above). He offered a five-point proposal for future talks between high-ranking officials of both countries.

2012 Summit of the "Shanghai Cooperation Organisation" SCO



[Source: Website of China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs on June 8, 2012]

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It should not surprise that it was China's top security official, Zhou Yongkang, who now came to Kabul because deteriorating security in Afghanistan is a crucial point in the development of bilateral relations.

As to security problems between Afghanistan and China, the following text has been quoted from a relevant article published by Al-Jazeera the day before:

الصين وأفغانستان.. علاقات ما بعد الناتو

China and Afghanistan - Relations After Nato [Engagement]

تعكس عناوين الاتفاقيات هواجس أمنية لدى البلدين، والتطلعات الاقتصادية الصينية في أفغانستان، ففيما يتعلق بالجانب الأمني تتزايد مخاوف بكين بشأن تدهور الأمن مع جارتها أفغانستان والتي تشترك معها في حدود يبلغ طولها 76 كيلومترا

Both sides are [reconsidering] an agreement of security obsession on the part of both countries as China's economic ambitions in Afghanistan are being related to the security aspect of increasing dangers [due to] deteriorating security that is [raging in] Afghanistan and [even] reaching the border of [both] countries which stretches over 76 km.


[Source: Al-Jazeera Online on September 24, 2012]

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The following text is a quotation from China Daily's article on Zhou Yongkang visiting Kabul and dated September 24 (last update), 2012:

Zhou said China is willing to make due contributions to peace and stability in Afghanistan, which is at a critical transition period.

"We will continue to provide assistance to Afghanistan with no attached conditions and sincerely hope the Afghan people can regain peace as soon as possible and build a better home in a peaceful environment," he added.

The United States has said that Washington and its allies will completely withdraw their troops from Afghanistan by 2014, leaving the country to stand on its own.

Karzai said Afghanistan would like China to be involved in its reconstruction efforts and is expecting China to play a bigger role in the peaceful development of Afghanistan and the region.

Official figures showed that by the end of 2011, China's direct investment into Afghanistan stood at about $200 million and the aggregate contract value of projects undertaken by Chinese constructors in Afghanistan reached nearly $600 million. In addition, about 20 China-aided projects in Afghanistan were completed between 2002 and 2011.

Karzai said China is among the first batch of countries that invested in Afghanistan, which brought concrete benefits to the Afghan people, and Afghanistan welcomes China to expand investment.


Friday, September 21, 2012

China at Sea - Diaoyu Island Dispute


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UPDATE on September 25, 2012:
Inauguration of China's first aircraft carrier by President Hu Jintao who is, as well, chairman of the Central Military Commission. The vessel has been renamed from its provisional name Varyag to LIAONING 辽宁, thus referring to China's Liaoning province where it has been completed in the seaport of Dalian.


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China's First Aircraft Carrier "Varyag" or No. 16


Yesterday, September 20, People's Network quoted Peking Evening News with an article on China's first aircraft carrier "Varyag 瓦良格" and dealt with the question of who might be the new commander of that vessel.

谁将指挥中国航母第一舰?

The aircraft carrier was originally built in the former Soviet Union from 1985-1991 but remained uncompleted. In 1998 it was sold by Ukraine without its original engines and after being disarmed for U.S.$ 20 million to China. In the following years it has undergone extensive overhaul and modernization, making it a modern style carrier that already caught the attention of U.S. authorities. The U.S. came to fear it as an example of China's modernization of its armed forces even before the carrier was finally completed.

Now, we hear that a certain Bo Yao Ping 柏耀平 should be commander of China's first aircraft carrier, a man who joined the armed forces at the age of 24 when he became known as an outstanding fighter pilot.


Commander Bo Yao Ping


Some days before, on September 15, another Chinese source had offered a more precise description of the aircraft carrier under the following headline:

解放军在瓦良格上集结这是准备收复钓鱼岛

What the Liberation Army is building up on the "Varyag" [in terms of military strength] is [sufficient to] prepare the recapture of Diaoyu Island.


Technical data: The "Varyag" should have a tonnage of 57.000 tons, its overall length being 304 m at the level of its flight platform and 281 m at water level. The vessel's maximum width should be 70.5 m.



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As to the notorious island dispute between China and Japan, China is still determined to defend its territorial rights.

Today's main headline of People's Network (September 21, 2012) is quoting semi-official People's Daily, Beijing, with the following text:


People's Daily - The Bell is Telling the Hidden Meaning:
Japan's "first occupation" of Diaoyu Island is in reality [an act of] stealing it.


China is referring to historic documents that should serve to prove its territorial rights in the region. As to reliable documents still existing, the network of Xinhua News Agency reported on September 18:


9月17日,观众在北京国家图书馆观看关于钓鱼岛的古籍文献。当日,国家图书馆举行“馆藏钓鱼岛有关文献情况介绍会”,向媒体展示了数十种从馆藏中精选的钓鱼岛及其附属岛屿(简称钓鱼岛)相关古籍善本、舆图、报刊等资料。大量历史文献证明,中国至迟在15世纪初就已发现钓鱼岛,并作为台湾的附属岛屿进行管辖,纳入了中国海疆版图作为海上防区,绝非“无主地”。日本明治政府于1885年通过冲绳县当局调查,认为其是无人岛,于是在1895年编入日本领土。日方偷换概念,用无人岛的说法取代无主岛,其所谓依据“先占”原则取得钓鱼岛“主权”的说法纯属历史谎言。无论是19世纪末日本窃取中国领土钓鱼岛,还是20世纪70年代美日对钓鱼岛进行私相授受,都不可能也没有改变钓鱼岛属于中国的事实。

September 17 saw masses in the National Library in Beijing who were looking at documents from ancient books referring to Diaoyu Island. On that day, the National Library held a "presentation on the condition of documents stored in the library and referring to Diaoyu Island". The carefully chosen material from the library's [archives], laid open to the media, contained ten sorts of reliable editions of old books, territorial maps and press publications that have a bearing on Diaoyu Island and its attached islets (in short called Diaoyu Islands). A large number of historic documents are proving, China had discovered Diaoyu Island in early 15th century, at the latest, and regarded it as a [group of] islets attached to Taiwan and being subject to its jurisdiction. [Diaoyu Island] became part of China's territory as belonging to its coastal areas and territorial seas which make up for [China's] maritime defence area, [therefore] being absolutely not a "no man's land". In 1885, [when] the Japanese Meiji government undertook an investigation to put vigorous restrictions on county authorities, it considered [Diaoyu Island] an uninhabited island. Later in 1895, [they] annexed it into their territory. The Japanese side secretly changed their concept and replaced the name "uninhabited island" by "unruled island". Their way of naming what they call the basis of the "first occupation" principle to gain Diaoyu Island's sovereign rights is a simple historical lie. Regardless of Japan stealing China's territory Diaoyu Island at the end of the 19th century, there was another U.S.-Japanese illicit transfer underway regarding Diaoyu Island in the 70th era of the 20th century. All that cannot possibly change the fact that Diaoyu Island belongs to China.


Some additional historic information referring to Diaoyu Island can be found on another blogspot of mine. My collection of opinion from China might be interesting as well as news about China's maritime surveillance fleet. For further news reports search the archives of my blog.


Old Chinese Naval Map





Visitor access point for visitors of "blueprint news" activated from Tokyo, Japan on September 15, 2012:


Chiyoda City 千代田区 is a special ward in central Tokyo dominated by the Imperial palace (below) and hosting government administrations like the prime minister's residence and some embassies.



Wednesday, September 19, 2012

U.S. Elections - Mitt Romney Lost Face


要闻 以色列果断的对伊朗动武


Evening News Update for September 19 further down:


Interested parties are to be found in my recent visitor statistics:
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Al-Jazeera, Evening News on September 18, 2012:

Only 50 days before the U.S. presidential elections are expected to start, President Obama's competitor Mitt Romney lost face when he was caught making remarks that should, at least, astonish U.S. voter who are not yet decided.

A video is showing Mitt Romney speaking at an exclusive meeting in front of guests who had paid a sufficiently high sum (50.000 $ level) to participate. Here are some typical remarks that reached international media. The complete video should be available on the internet.


"Obama Supporters Too Poor To Pay Tax"




"Palestinians Do Not Want Peace"


Oh my goodness ... What a guy to become president !

One day later, on September 19, CNN quoted an ad-hoc opinion poll by USA Today / Gallup that is showing how Mitt Romney's remarks influenced his popularity in both groups of voters, those registered as Republican or Democratic voters and those considered as independent voters.


As to the stance "47% Obama voters don't pay taxes", here are the official U.S. statistics of tax payers:


Indeed 46% of U.S. citizens don't pay federal income (!) tax which means they are not keeping an own business but are essentially either employees paying payroll taxes or retired persons or low income workers. The payroll tax payers making up for 28%, those U.S. citizens who don't pay any taxes at all are summing up for 46-28 = 18%. Supposed social welfare candidates, included in these 18%, make up for just 1%.

Even though Obama might attract more low income voters than Romney, he doesn't necessarily take all of the low income votes. Therefore, Mitt Romney's remark on Obama voters don't paying taxes is altogether wrong and unqualified.



Sunday, September 16, 2012

Disputed Islands - China's Maritime Surveillance


要闻 以色列果断的对伊朗动武


Yesterday, September 15, two Chinese patrol boats have reached Diaoyu Island and associated isles. Wuhan Evening News reported on their mission:

盘点中国海监船巡航钓鱼岛编队

Making an inventory of China's Maritime Surveillance ship formation cruising Diaoyu Island.


The biggest of those vessels are the No. 50 Maritime Surveillance Ship (tonnage 3.980 tons, length 98 m, width 15.2 m, draught 7.8 m) and its sister ship No. 83. Their cruising radius should be 10.000 nautic miles, maximum speed 18 knots and period of deployment 60 days.


The fastest ship in China's Maritime Surveillance is No. 66 (tonnage 1.290 tons, length 77.4 m, width 10.4 m). Its main engine providing 2.380 PS, both engines can speed up the ship to a maximum speed of 20 knots. The cruising radius should be 5.000 nautic miles and the period of deployment 30 days.
Maritime Surveillance No. 66 has already driven out a Japanese surveying ship near Okinawa.

Maritime Surveillance No. 26 and No. 27 are similar to No. 66, both, in size (1.125 / 1.200 tons) and performance (20 knots, 5.000 nautic miles). No. 27 has been equipped with latest radar technology.


The picture below is showing the No. 15 unit (1.740 tons, cruising radius 6.000 nautic miles) in front of Diaoyu Island. It is usually being deployed in the North China Sea and should have accompanied No. 51 on its actual trip to Diaoyu Island.



There are additional items regarding China's Maritime Surveillance fleet, like the number of crew members and the places of launching, which I did not translate. By the way, it seems that all information has been specially promoted by China's leadership to be made known outside of China, such serving as some kind of deterrent.




Visitor access points to "blueprint news" for East and South-East Asia (registered on September 19 for the last 200 visitors):