Friday, July 26, 2024

The Trump Effect

On Fake News ...


“In an ever-changing, incomprehensible world the masses had reached the point where they would, at the same time, believe everything and nothing, think that everything was possible and that nothing was true. ...

Mass propaganda discovered that its audience was ready at all times to believe the worst, no matter how absurd, and did not particularly object to being deceived because it held every statement to be a lie anyhow.

The totalitarian mass leaders based their propaganda on the correct psychological assumption that, under such conditions, one could make people believe the most fantastic statements one day, and trust that if the next day they were given irrefutable proof of their falsehood, they would take refuge in cynicism.

Instead of deserting the leaders who had lied to them, they would protest that they had known all along that the statement was a lie and would admire the leaders for their superior tactical cleverness.

On Stability and Chaos ...


“The point is that both Hitler and Stalin held out promises of stability in order to hide their intention of creating a state of permanent instability.”

On the Quality of Followers ...


“Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty.”

Hannah Arendt, a Jewish activist
from Germany, in her famous book
'The Origins of Totalitarianism'





Trump Saved by 'Divine Providence'

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

Biden's Surprise Retreat -- Chinese Media Comment

Last Major Update on July 25

A rather reluctant position takes China's Global Times, not being acquainted to surprise actions of high-ranking political leaders. The photo shows an allegation to VOX News, the voice of Trump's Republican supporters, fitting with Trump's subliminal stance of 'bringing them behind bars'.


During the last days, Chinese social media have gone viral with remarks running down Kamala Harris while, at the same time, rather praising Donald Trump who, in reality, has never been China's friend.


While Chinese social media trended toward insulting personal attacks on Harris, state media remained focused on criticizing her professional qualifications.

One of the most-read articles from the nationalistic Global Times called her “mediocre” and said Harris — who previously served as San Francisco’s district attorney, California’s attorney general and a U.S. senator before being elected vice president — lacks the experience to serve as president. It asserted that she would continue to deepen alliances in Asia “in the face of China’s geopolitical ascendence.”

An article on Baidu’s news channel said former President Barack Obama’s lack of an immediate endorsement for Harris was “equivalent to expressing a lack of support.”

Another said, “Harris has not achieved any political achievements worth mentioning in the more than three years since she became vice president, her governing ability is limited, and she often laughs for no reason.”

Meanwhile, China’s lively social-media landscape was rife with sexist and disparaging posts.


[WSJ Market Watch on July 24]

Chinese netizen making fun of Harris' cheerful nature
in his tweet posted on X on July 25, 2024.


Here an excerpt from the Global Times article presented above:

拜登宣布退选震惊各方!美媒:他成为56年来第一位放弃连任机会的现任美国总统
Biden's announcement of his withdrawal from the election shocked all sides! US media: He became the first current president of the United States in 56 years to give up the chance to be re-elected.


在民主党内部的强大压力下,美国总统拜登当地时间7月21日下午在一份声明中宣布退出2024年美国总统竞选,并表示支持副总统哈里斯接棒获得民主党党内提名,竞选总统。美媒称,这一决定标志着拜登52年选举政治生涯的迅速而令人震惊的结束,拜登也成为56年来第一位放弃连任机会的现任总统。上一次放弃连任的是深陷越南战争泥潭的林登·约翰逊总统,他在1968年3月宣布不寻求另一个任期。对于拜登退选,美国前总统奥巴马称赞了他的决定,并称“拜登是一位最高级别的爱国者”。民主党参议员贝内特称,拜登的退出给了民主党“击败特朗普的机会”。不过,共和党总统候选人特朗普批评称,拜登是美国历史上最糟糕的总统。他还表示,哈里斯将比拜登更容易被击败。《纽约时报》评价称,拜登带领美国走出疫情以及随之而来的经济动荡,但他弥合特朗普执政期间美国扩大的裂痕的希望已经破灭,美国社会仍然两极分化严重。同时,拜登的决定颠覆了竞选,为现代史上前所未有的喧闹和不可预测的竞选活动奠定了基础。哈里斯只剩下107天的时间来巩固民主党人的支持,确立自己作为可信的国家领导人的地位。

Under strong internal pressure, U.S. President Biden announced in a statement on July 21 afternoon local time that he withdrew from the 2024 U.S. presidential campaign,and expressed support for Vice President Harris received the Democratic Party nomination,candidate for president. U.S. media said this decision marked the rapid and shocking end of Biden’s 52 year election political life. Biden also became the first renounced re-election opportunity incumbent president in 56 years. The last relinquished re-election was that of President Lyndon Johnson, who announced in March 1968 that he did not seek another term. For Biden's resignation, former U.S. President Barack Obama praised his decision, and called "Biden is a top-ranking patriot." Democratic Senator Bennet specifically called Biden’s exit as giving Democrats a “defeating Trump opportunity”. However, Republican presidential candidate Trump criticized Biden as the worst president in U.S. history. He also described Harris as being more easily to defeat than Biden. The New York Times review said Biden mastered the U.S. outbreak of the epidemic and the resulting economic turmoil. However, the fractured hopes of U.S. expansion during the Trump administration have been dashed and America's society remains highly polarized. At the same time, Biden's decision subverted the campaign, laying the foundation for the noisy and unpredictable campaign activities unprecedented in modern history. Harris has only 107 days left to consolidate Democratic support, establishing herself as a credible national leader.


[Global Times on July 23, 2024. The article was published at a time when VP Kamala Harris already enjoyed broad support for her own nomination campaign within the Democratic Party.]

Friday, July 19, 2024

Houthi Drone Attack on Tel Aviv

Israel has been attacked by a Yemeni Houthi drone. The attack seems to be partly successful. Here is how this became possible.

Let's begin with the US attacks on Houthi installations using America's MQ-9 'Reaper' drones.

Six of these drones were grounded by the Houthis, one of them probably belonging to an upgraded version able to intrude enemy territory without being observed.

So, US technology might have become available to their enemies, the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon.



I would just like to mention recent unnoted intrusions of Hezbollah surveillance drones into Israeli territory, making photos of the Haifa region and the Golan Heights. Another intrusion of a Houthi drone could now be responsible for the attack on Tel Aviv.

.........................................


MQ-9 'Reaper' drone equipped with new EW pod that makes it a 'black hole' that can 'disappear off of enemy radar,' top Marine general says.


The US Marine Corps has equipped its MQ-9 'Reaper' drones with a new electronic warfare pod. The pod "can mimic things that are sent to it," Marine Corps Commandant Gen. Eric Smith said.

The announcement follows the drone's struggles against the Houthi Rebels.

The US Marine Corps has equipped its MQ-9 'Reaper' drones with a new electronic warfare pod that can 'mimic' signals to help hide them from enemy sensors, a top US Marine Corps general has said, The War Zone reported.

[Business Insider on July 8, 2024]

.........................................................



美联社称,也门胡塞武装发布的视频显示,一架美国MQ-9“死神”无人机在也门中部马里卜省的沙漠地区遭到地对空导弹袭击后坠毁。这是本月发生的第三起此类事件。

美联社根据曝光的图像分析称,MQ-9无人机在荒芜的沙漠中机腹朝天,尾部组件与机身其他部分分离。无人机被击落后,机身上至少有一个舱门似乎被打开了,但无人机的主体部分基本完好无损,没有明显的爆炸损伤。值得注意的是,该无人机上似乎没有任何标记。

一位不愿透露姓名的美国国防官员告诉美联社,“美国空军没有在美军中央司令部管辖范围内损失任何飞机。”这位官员拒绝透露更多细节。美联社称,据信,美国中央情报局曾派遣“死神”无人机飞越也门。美联社联系到美国中央情报局时,该局拒绝发表评论。


另据土耳其安纳多卢通讯社报道,也门胡塞组织29日宣布在马里卜省击落了一架美国无人机。胡塞武装发言人叶海亚·萨里称,其武装人员在也门北部击落了一架美国MQ-9“死神”无人机。他在一份声明中说:“这架无人机在马里卜省上空执行敌对任务时被一枚地对空导弹击落。”他补充说:“这架无人机是被击落的第六架无人机。”


According to Associated Press [AP], a video released by the Yemeni Houthi armed forces shows that a U. S. MQ-9 'Reaper' drone crashes after a surface-to-air missile attack on the desert area of Malib province in central Yemen. This is the third such incident this month.

Based on exposure image analysis, AP informs about the MQ-9 unmanned aerial vehicle in the desert that its tail component is separated from other parts of the fuselage. After the drone was shot down, at least one hatch on the fuselage seems to have been opened, but the main part of the drone is basically intact, and there is no obvious damage from explosion. It is worth noting that the drone does not appear to have any markings.

A senior U. S. defense official told Associated Press, “The U. S. Air Force has not lost any aircraft within the jurisdiction of U. S. Central Command. "The official refused to disclose more details. Associated Press said it came to believe that the CIA once dispatched a 'Reaper' drone over Yemen. When AP contacted U. S. Central Intelligence Agency, the agency refused to comment.


According to a Turkish Anadolu News Agency report, the Yemeni Houthi organization announced on [May] 29 that it shot down a U. S. drone in Malib province. Houthi spokesman Yahya Sarri said his militants shot down a U. S. MQ-9 'Reaper' drone in northern Yemen. Another statement said: "This drone was shot down by a surface-to-air missile while carrying out a hostile mission over Malib province. Others added: "This drone is the sixth drone to be shot down."


[SINA 新浪财经 on May 30, 2024]



..........................................


Yemeni Houthi rebels attacked near the US embassy in Tel Aviv. Here's how they managed to slip through the world's best-protected city.

For many years, Israel has been targeted by Hamas fighters from the Gaza Strip and Hezbollah from Lebanese territory. This has led to the creation of the world's most advanced anti-air and anti-missile defense system.

It's multi-layered and challenging to penetrate, but the Yemeni Houthi rebels demonstrated it is possible. They claimed responsibility for the attack on the night of July 18-19, 2024. The attack using the new Yafa drone was intended as a gesture of solidarity and support for Palestinians in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank. Additionally, the Houthis have announced more attacks in their declaration.

It's also worth noting that the drone's target was most likely the nearby American embassy, but the drone missed its intended target due to the precision of commercial navigation modules.

[Essanews, Warsaw / Poland on July 19, 2024]


THE FULL YEMENI ARMED FORCES STATEMENT:

In the name of Allah, the most gracious, the most merciful:

In support of the oppressed Palestinian people and their mujahideen, and in retaliation to the Zionist enemy's massacres against the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip.

The UAV force of the Yemeni Armed Forces, with the help of Allah Almighty, carried out a specific military operation, which consisted of targeting one of the important targets in the occupied Yafa region, what is now called Israeli Tel Aviv.

The operation was carried out with a new drone called "Yafa", which is capable of bypassing the enemy's interception systems and undetectable by radars. The operation has achieved its goals successfully.


The Yemeni Armed Forces declare the occupied Yafa region an unsafe area and will be a primary target within the range of our weapons. and will focus on targeting the Zionist enemy's internal front and reaching the depths.

In announcing this specific operation, the Yemeni Armed Forces confirm that they have a bank of targets in occupied Palestine, including sensitive military and security targets, and will continue, with the help of Allah Almighty, to strike those targets in response to the enemy's massacres and daily crimes against our people in the Gaza Strip.

The operations of the Yemeni Armed Forces continue to support the heroic mujahideen in Gaza who are defending all our people and countries of our Arab and Islamic Ummah, and their operations will not stop unless the aggression and the siege on the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip is lifted.

Allah is sufficient for us, and He is the best disposer of affairs, the best protector, and the best helper.

Long live Yemen, free, beloved and independent.
Victory belongs to Yemen and to all the free people of the Ummah.

Sanaa, Muharram 13, 1446 AH July 19, 2024 AD Issued by the Yemeni Armed Forces

=> Video: Yemeni Armed Forces Statement <=




Tuesday, July 16, 2024

The Republican Candidate

Citizen Trump posing
for the perfect shot
before the cameras.





Editor's Comment:
When we experienced incompetent George Bush jun. and the useless wars he started, we thought it couldn't come worse. Then we learnt about Trump and his "ability" to invent reality and incite American hillbillies. What comes next ? Lincoln 2.0 and the American Civil War ?




Sunday, July 07, 2024

Hezbollah's Effective Low-Cost Attacks Annoying Israel

كيف تخترق مسيّرات حزب الله الدفاعات الجوية الإسرائيلية؟

مما يستدلّ به على العجز الإسرائيلي إزاء الجبهة الشمالية، هو ما سُرّب عن مصدر في الجيش إلى الإعلام، وتحديدًا صحيفة "يديعوت أحرونوت"، تعقيبًا على الاختراق الذي حققته مسيّرة حزب الله "الهدهد" في حيفا، من أن عدم إسقاطها كان لـ"تفادي إحداث حالة من الهلع في المدينة، أو التسبب بأضرار من أثر الصاروخ الاعتراضي

لا تفضح هذا الادعاء حقيقة أن طائرات أف- 16 الإسرائيلية تدخّلت في عام 2013 لإسقاط طائرة وصلت إلى ميناء حيفا ذاته الذي شوهد في الصور، ولا أن مسيّرة قبلها، اسمها "أيوب"، وصلت حتى مفاعل ديمونا في أقصى الجنوب وأقرّ الاحتلال في حينها أنها ربّما تكون قد التقطت صورًا حساسة للمنشأة النووية، وحسب، بل أن جيش الاحتلال ما زال يتلقّى الضربة تلو الأخرى من مسيّرات حزب الله اللبناني، من قصف قاعدة المطلة بصاروخين موجّهين قبل انقضاض المسيّرة الناقلة على الهدف، إلى ضرب بالون "طال هشمايم" -وأحد مهامه رصد الطائرات بدون طيار- في مفترق غولاني، إلى الإجهاز على بطارية قبة حديدية في ثكنة "راموت نفتالي" في السابع من هذا الشهر

لكلّ ذلك، يمكن القول إن الحرب الحالية سجّلت إخفاقًا غير مسبوق لما ظلّت تفاخر به إسرائيل على أنه أحد أكثر أنظمة الدفاع في العالم تقدّما، وتشابكًا، وكلفة، من القبة الحديدية، إلى "مقلاع داود" التي دخلت الخدمة حديثًا خلال جولة التصعيد مع حركة الجهاد الإسلامي، ثم إلى سائر ما تملكه من طائرات متفوّقة. كيف إذًا يمكن لطائرات لا يتجاوز ثمن إحداها بضع مئات من الدولارات، وربما يشتريها أشخاص هواة للتسلية، على حد وصف مقال في مجلة Air and Space Power، أن تُعجز نظامًا دفاعيًّا بكل تلك التقانة؟

...............


How do Hezbollah rallies penetrate Israeli air defenses?


An indication of Israel's inability on the northern front is what was leaked by an army source to the media, specifically the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper, commenting on the breakthrough achieved by the march of Hezbollah's "Hudhud" in Haifa, that not shooting it down was to "avoid causing panic in the city, or causing damage from the impact of the interceptor missile. "

This claim not only exposes the fact that Israeli F-16s intervened in 2013 to shoot down a plane that arrived at the same Haifa port seen in the photos, nor that a drone before it, called "Ayoub", reached the Dimona reactor in the far south and the occupation admitted at the time that it may have taken sensitive photos of the nuclear facility, but that the occupation army is still receiving one blow after another from Lebanese Hezbollah marches, from the bombing of the Metulla base with two guided missiles before. A drone pounced on the target hitting the [radar dome of] "Tal Hashimim" - one of [the dome's tasks] being to monitor drones - at the Golani junction, [another one] finished off an Iron Dome battery in the "Ramot Naftali" barracks on the seventh of this month.

For all this, it can be said that the current war has recorded an unprecedented failure of what Israel has been boasting of as one of the most advanced, intertwined, and expensive defense systems in the world, from the Iron Dome to the newly entered David's Sling during the round of escalation with Islamic Jihad, and then to all its superior aircraft. How, then, can planes that cost only a few hundred dollars and may be bought by amateurs for entertainment, as an article in Air and Space Power put it, fail to have a defense system with all that technology?

................

Beyond the defensive gap
With the threat of drones being a reality, their impact in any close battle may go beyond providing images and data to Hezbollah in real time, and enabling its forces to gather field information on the deployment and location of enemy units. In a scenario of "roof without roof and without controls," as the party's secretary-general Hassan Nasr Allah said in his recent speech, a scenario like the one warned of by the American think tank Alma two years before the current war became possible: The party's drone swarms attack the air defense systems in northern Israel, which could neutralize them or cause them severe damage, and then the entire north becomes exposed to the heavier warheads in the party's arsenal.


[العربي الجديد two weeks ago]
Editor's Note: Alma Research and Education Center is an
Israel based organization rather than a US think tank. As
Alma is known to maintain close contact with high-ranking
US officials, it cannot be excluded that they are being
supported by the US government as well.

..........................


Data passing through New York / Manhattan
probably via some Australian internet node.

Haifa visitors on July 8, 2024.

Friday, July 05, 2024

Yemenite Houthis Using Hypersonic Missiles ? !

也门胡塞武装最大的导弹技术来源就是伊朗,伊朗也成功测试了高超音速导弹。那么,伊朗的先进导弹技术又是从哪里来的呢?
要研发高超音速导弹,主要有三个难点,第一就是,计算机控制能力。在导弹以5倍音速以上高速飞行的时候,无线电信号会受到严重影响。因此,要高速当中控制导弹飞行轨迹不会出现一丝一毫偏差,计算机处理能力非常重要。
其次,高超音速导弹可以达到极高速度,就要进行反复风洞测试气动外形。就必须有各种风洞系统进行测算。最后就是,高性能火箭发动机,才能飚出高速度。


The largest source of missile technology for Yemen's Houthi rebels is Iran, which has also successfully tested hypersonic missiles. So, where did Iran's advanced missile technology come from?

To develop hypersonic missiles, there are three main difficulties, the first is computer control capabilities. When a missile is flying at a high speed of more than 5 times the speed of sound, the radio signal can be severely affected. Therefore, in order to control the missile's flight trajectory at high speed without the slightest deviation, computer processing power is very important.

Secondly, hypersonic missiles can reach extremely high speeds, and it is necessary to conduct repeated wind tunnel tests of aerodynamic shapes. It is necessary to have a variety of wind tunnel systems to make the measurements. Finally, high-performance rocket engines can soar at high speeds.

有消息称,也门胡塞武装的高超音速导弹还是固体火箭发动机,最大速度可以在8倍音速。可以直接打击以色列本土。
为此也门胡塞领导人马利克·胡塞表示,现在我们的敌人应该看到这一切,也门胡塞的导弹打击能力已经跻身于世界前列。
也门胡塞武装从哪里来的这种外星科技?也门胡塞武装除了伊朗波斯湾反舰弹道导弹,法塔赫110战术导弹以外,其他导弹就是萨姆2防空导弹改装的Qahe弹道导弹,飞毛腿导弹改装的Badr-1、Badr-P1以及Badr-F弹道导弹。


There is information that the hypersonic missiles of the Houthis in Yemen are also solid rocket engines, and the maximum speed can be 8 times the speed of sound. It can be directly hit at Israeli dominion.

To this end, Yemen's Houthi leader Malik Houthi said that now our enemies should see all this, and Yemen's Houthi missile strike capabilities have become among the best in the world.

Where did the Yemeni Houthis come from with this alien technology? In addition to Iran's Persian Gulf anti-ship ballistic missiles and Fatah 110 tactical missiles, the other missiles of the Yemeni Houthis are Qahe ballistic missiles modified from SAM-2 anti-aircraft missiles, and Badr-1, Badr-P1 and Badr-F ballistic missiles modified from Scud missiles.


[腾讯网 on July 1st, 2024]


So Russia and China seem to be the most important 'suspects'.

As to me, it makes sense to compare the Yemenite Houthis with North Korea, known to have recently carried out hypersonic missile tests itself. The recently proclaimed 'deepening of bilateral friendship' between Russia and N-Korea is serving the extensive delivery of munitions and weapons from N-Korea to Russia needed to fuel Russia's war on Ukraine.

On the other hand, China has undergone a massive technological leap in the development of sophisticated weaponry, hypersonic missiles included, such that both, the Yemenite Houthis and N-Korea, could benefit from there. China's foreign policies could establish an ideal basis for some discrete 'help from their friends'.

Here are two additional articles related to the subject:


朝鲜空飘“垃圾气球”又射弹 图抗议韩美日本周联合军演


韩国联合参谋本部说,朝鲜星期三(6月26日)清晨5时30分从平壤一带向朝鲜半岛东部海域发射弹道导弹,飞行超过250公里。朝鲜很有可能是为了改良固体燃料高超音速导弹的性能而强行试射,但最终以失败告终。

韩军相关人士指出,朝鲜今年宣布成功试射固体燃料高超音速导弹,这次可能是为了进一步测试导弹。

分析认为,朝鲜此次挑衅可能是针对韩美日举行联合军演前,抵达韩国的美国罗斯福号航母。该航母不仅是朝鲜警惕的美军战略资产,而且还将参与军演,因此朝鲜非常敏感。

联合早报2024年6月26日
图片:
韩国军方说,朝鲜星期三(6月26日)清晨从平壤一带向朝鲜半岛东部海域发射弹道导弹以失败告终。图为靠近朝鲜北方界限海上边界的延坪岛可以看到一条据信是朝鲜弹道导弹产生的蒸气尾迹。


North Korean airborne "garbage balloon" and projectile
picture protest Korea-Japan Joint Military Exercice


South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff said that North Korea launched a ballistic missile from around Pyongyang towards the eastern waters of the Korean Peninsula at 5. 30 a. m. on Wednesday (June 26), flying more than 250 kilometers. It is likely that North Korea conducted a forced test-launch in order to improve solid-fuel hypersonic missile performance, but ultimately failed.

South Korean military personnel pointed out,North Korea this year announced a successful test launch of a solid-fuel hypersonic missile,this time may be for further testing missile.

Analysis believes,North Korea this provocation may be against South Korea,U. S. and Japan held joint military exercises,Arrival of South Korea's USThe aircraft carrier is not only North Korea vigilant U. S. military strategic assets, but also will participate in military exercises, so North Korea is very sensitive


Picture: The South Korean military said North Korea failed to launch a ballistic missile from Pyongyang into the eastern waters of the Korean peninsula early on Wednesday, June 26. Near the North Korean border on the maritime border of Yontsun Island can be seen one article believed to be a North Korean ballistic missile-producing vapor trail.

[联合早报—新加坡 on June 26, 2024]

...........................


天兵科技成立于2019年,是一家中国民营商业航天公司。公司主要致力于研发新一代液体火箭发动机及中大型液体运载火箭。去年4月,天兵科技天龙二号遥一运载火箭自中国酒泉卫星发射中心成功发射。其核心团队多数来自于中国航天科技(8.330, 0.07, 0.85%)、中国航天科工等国家航天集团。

天兵科技的创始人、董事长康永来,已经从事运载火箭技术研发与项目管理将近20年,是一位典型的科学家创业者。

康永来曾任中国运载火箭技术研究院运载火箭总体研究室主任、型号副总师、总工。作为研究院历史上最年轻的研究室主任和总体副总师,康永来曾主持过东风-17高超音速导弹以及长征十一号运载火箭的总体论证设计工作。


Founded in 2019, Tianbing Science & Technology is a Chinese private commercial aerospace company. The company is mainly dedicated to the development of new generation liquid rocket engines and medium and large liquid carrier rockets. In April last year, Tianbing Science Tenlong No. 2 remote carrier rocket was successfully launched from China Sake Spring Satellite Launch Center. Many of its core teams come from China Aerospace Technology (.....) and China Aerospace Engineering.

Tianbing Scientific and Technological Founder and Chairman of the Board Kang YongLai, has been engaged in rocket launch technology research and development and project management for nearly 20 years, is a typical scientific entrepreneur.

Kang YongLai was Director of the Rocket Launch General Laboratory, Deputy Chief Model Officer, and Chief Engineer of the China Rocket Launch Technology Research Institute. As the youngest head of the research laboratory in the history of the institute, Kang YongLai presided over the overall demonstration design of the Tongfeng-17 hypersonic missile and the Long March 11 launch vehicle.


[SINA on June 30, 2024]