The Paper, 澎湃新闻, is a Chinese digital newspaper run by the Shanghai United Media Group and said to be ideologically connected with the Communist Party of China.
On January 27, 2022, they came with an interesting comment on the Ukrainian conflict seen as a chess game. The comment is based on a perception of Ukraine being isolated in its controversy with Russia, with no western partner willing to send troops or really effective weapons. It comes to the conclusion that Ukraine has to decide with what side to negotiate.
俄乌冲突不可能调解成功，关键之处在于俄乌怎么应对问题，比如避免战斗打响。
原因很简单，从普京拿下克里米亚的那一刻开始，就意味着乌克兰不可能亲俄，泽连斯基如果替俄罗斯说好话，结果只能是被迫下台。
在大部分乌克兰人看来，俄罗斯“吞并”了克里米亚，现在还试图控制顿巴斯，无疑是不可接受的。
泽连斯基主动喊话普京和谈，还请来了马克龙、朔尔茨等帮手，无疑是好消息，至于普京是否搭理泽连斯基，就是另外一回事了。
普京的选择是直接找美国对话，因为俄罗斯认为乌克兰是美国的棋子。
开弓没有回头箭，俄乌冲突仍然充满了变数，爆发战争的可能不是没有，是继续当美国的桥头堡，还是真心实意地与俄罗斯坐下来谈，乌克兰的确得好好想想了。
It is impossible to successfully mediate the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and the key lies in how Russia and Ukraine deal with problems, such as avoiding the start of fighting.
The reason is simple: from the moment Putin took Crimea, it meant that Ukraine could not be pro-Russian, and if Zelenskiy said good things for Russia, he would only be forced to step down.
In the eyes of most Ukrainians, Russia's "annexation" of Crimea and its current attempt to control Donbass is undoubtedly unacceptable.
Zelenskiy took the initiative to call out Putin for peace talks, and also invited Macron, Scholz and other helpers, which is undoubtedly good news, as to whether Putin takes care of Zelenskiy, it is another matter.
Putin's choice is to talk directly to the United States, because Russia believes that Ukraine is a pawn of the United States.
There is no turning back from the bow, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is still full of variables, and the outbreak of war may not be nothing, whether to continue to be the bridgehead of the United States, or to sit down with Russia sincerely, Ukraine really has to think about it.
俄乌局势真到了一触即发的边缘吗？讲真，俄罗斯真的不想打仗，而且俄罗斯在经济上并不足以支持对乌克兰发动全面战争。就在昨天，俄罗斯股市暴跌了8.32%。
但俄罗斯没有退路，他们从地缘上必须要有一个缓冲区，不能接受让北约直接靠近边境，不能接受北约东扩。但俄罗斯也明白，如果俄乌真的爆发了战争，不但对乌克兰没什么好处，对俄罗斯也没什么好处，只能是两败俱伤，让西方火中取栗。
Is the situation in Russia and Ukraine really on the verge of erupting? To be honest, Russia really doesn't want to go to war, and Russia is not economically strong enough to support an all-out war against Ukraine. Just yesterday, the Russian stock market plunged 8.32 percent.
But Russia has no way back, they must have a buffer zone from the geopolitical point of view, can not accept NATO directly close to the border, can not accept NATO eastward expansion. But Russia also understands that if war really breaks out between Russia and Ukraine, it will not only be of no benefit to Ukraine, but also of little benefit to Russia, but it can only be a lose-lose situation and let the West take advantage of the fire.
Every day the US keep saying the wolf is coming.
What if the wolf really comes ?
The next day, January 27, the above quoted source reported about direct talks between Germany, France, Russia and Ukraine without the presence of a US representative:
After having temporarily excluded the US from the proceedings in Russia's direct negotiations with Ukraine and representatives from France and Germany, Russia came to terms with Ukraine on the lowest possible level of a mutual ceasefire. Soon afterwards, Russia stepped forward in the controversy about a hypothetic NATO membership of Ukraine. As Russia's Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexei Zaitsev put it: After the ceasefire even the idea of war between Russia and Ukraine should be considered as 'unacceptable'. In order to ease tensions in the conflict, a withdrawal of NATO troops from all of Eastern Europe should therefore be the logical consequence. [Reuters news agency, Chinese edition on January 28, 2022]
Zaitsev称：“如果北约从东欧国家撤军，军事紧张局势显然会得到缓解。这正是我们所呼吁的。”
Zaitsev said: "If NATO withdraws its troops from Eastern European countries, military tensions will obviously ease." That is exactly what we are calling for. "
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