Official Results from December 25 further down !
Above: Predicted overall result for the second stage of voting.
11:57 CET / 10:57 GMT
After the counting of more than 63% of votes following yesterday's second round of voting, it becomes clear that president Morsy's constitutional draft has been accepted by an overwhelming majority of 70.9%, result published at 10:00 GMT this morning by the Arabic channel of Al-Jazeera. Rural areas are approving the new constitution by even more than 80%. Only the Red Sea tourism resorts bring about some 60% of votes in support.
Even though urban areas present lower support than rural areas [i.e. Kairo / al-Jiza 66.3%, Alexandria 55%, Suez 70.4% and Port Said 51.1% votes in favor of the constitution], these first results are already proving widespread agreement to the president's constitutional draft which is considered to promote a democratic state based on Islamic values.
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Evening Update for December 23, 2012:
According to different European media (German TV / ARD, France 24), last voting results in the Egyptian referendum are showing a 64% majority of all votes in favor of president Morsy's constitutional draft. Voting participation should have been rather low at 32%.
A member of the electoral commission said that any voting results are to be considered as inofficial up to now. As expected, the opposition has already voiced accusations of fraud during the referendum.
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Morning Update for December 24, 2012:
Above: Latest election results predicted by Al-Jazeera on December 23/24 and worked up by Ulysses.
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Official Results from December 25, 2012
Nearly two-thirds of voters in the Egyptian referendum have supported a proposed new constitution, the electoral commission has announced. In all, 63.8% of voters cast Yes ballots in two stages, on December 15 and 22. The commission announced the result live on state-run Nile News TV. Parliamentary elections must now take place within two months.
[Source: BBC, London on December 25, 2012]
Above: Official Results published by Egypt's Electoral Commission.
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Editor's Note and Final Evaluation:
The overall result of both rounds of voting is presenting some 63,8% of votes in favor of the new constitution according to the electoral commission and different international media.
Unfortunately, the outcome of the second round of voting has not been mentioned. However it can be counted by using the outcome of the first round of voting from December 15 which was 56.6% according to CNN [news service on December 27].
Two times the average value (63.8%) is equalling the sums of first round (56.6%) and second round (x%) of voting:
127.6 = 56.6 + x
x = 71
The counted outcome of the second round of voting should therefore be 71%. The result fits perfectly with the predicted 70.9% published by Al-Jazeera on December 23 (diagram on top of this blogspot). This implies an increase of Yes-votes for the constitution in the second round of voting !
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