Based on the attack of Russian territory at Belgorod on June 2, some Chinese media comment, published June 10, comes to the following conclusion : It is not looking too good for Russia.
That evaluation is founded on the idea that the Belgorod incident, even though restricted to one single region, is revealing essential shortcomings of both, Russia's military forces and Russia's politics. It therefore comes to the conclusion that Russia's position should not be looked at with any optimism.
其一：俄罗斯想彻底击败乌克兰已经遥遥无期，说是没有希望，没有可能，只怕不能说不现实。打了一年多了，不但没能取得压制性的胜利，而且自己的领土还遭到了乌方的攻击。[也就是说，自己会不会偷鸡不成反蚀一把米都已经说不清了。]
其二：俄罗斯对乌方的攻击听之任之，24小时内107次攻击。可以想象，当乌方发动攻击的时候，俄方未能给予及时的压制，只能任由乌方的炮火攻击。如此状况，实在是不容乐观。
其三：俄方边境呈严峻空虚状态。别尔哥罗德州是俄罗斯的边境城市，乌方对该州实施攻击使用的是火炮、迫击炮等。也就是说，这是一次近距离的攻击。说穿了，是与该州相邻的乌方边境城市发动的攻击。将双方边境军力进行对比，乌方24小时内107次攻击。俄方听之任之，被动挨打，可见，俄方边境军力严峻空虚。
One: Russia's desire to completely defeat Ukraine is nowhere in sight. It is said that there is no hope, no possibility. I'm afraid it cannot be said to be realistic. After fighting for more than a year, [Russia] not only failed to achieve a repressive victory, but also experienced its own territory being attacked by the Ukrainian side. [phrase based on a Chinese proverb]
Second: [Only consider that] Russian attacks on Ukraine were allowed to go unchecked, comprising 107 attacks within 24 hours. Then just imagine the Ukrainian side launching a [similar] attack and the Russian side failed to suppress it in time while the Ukrainian side was only allowed to attack with artillery fire. Such a situation is really not optimistic.
Third: The Russian border is in a severe state of emptiness. Belgorod is a border city of Russia, and the Ukrainian side used artillery and mortars to attack the [Russian] state. In other words, it was a close range attack. To put it bluntly, it was an attack launched from the Ukrainian border city adjacent to Russian territory. To compare the border forces of both sides, the Ukrainian side could make 107 attacks within 24 hours. The Russian side let them go and was beaten passively. It can be seen that Russia's military strength on the border is severely lacking.
Based on the above told facts, the Chinese commentator draws a rather gloomy picture of Russia's position in its war on Ukraine. However, this is only a single person's opinion.
Editor's opinion: Speaking of myself as somebody who already encountered different Chinese opinions regarding Putin's war on Ukraine, I came to think that such pluralistic treatment of the subject is rather unusual in an evironment lacking the total freedom of press. This should only be possible, if China's leadership had their own problems of coming to terms with Putin's war policy. And there is much at stake for China in the frame of its 'road and belt' policies in Central and Western Asia.
综合分析：关于俄乌战争，俄罗斯至少有三个没有料到。
一是没有料到竟然有那么多国家支持乌克兰，而且支持的力度越来越大。
二是没有料到泽连斯基一个戏子，还那么淘气捣蛋。
三是没有料到很友好的中国民众竟然也有那么多人反对俄罗斯发动战争。
Comprehensive analysis: Regarding the Russia-Ukraine war, there are at least three things that Russia did not expect.
One is that they did not expect so many countries to support Ukraine, and the support is getting stronger and stronger.
Second, I did not expect Zelensky to be so mischievous as an actor.
Third, I did not expect so many Chinese, very friendly [towards Russia], to oppose Russia's war.
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